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Announcing -New Natalee Holloway Book released online:  Natalee Holloway Missing in Aruba
Check out the chapter titles and click to go directly to each one.
Contents Preface Missing in Aruba -1 Search   Suspects - 2 Joran van der Sloot -3 Family Posse - 4
Jossy Mansur - 5 Suspects Released - 6 Boycott of Aruba - 7 Dr. Phil & Deepak  8 The Reward - 9 FBI Involvement - 10
Red Bull & Alcohol-11 Essays & Theories -12 Author  in Aruba - 13 Forum views - 14 At the Holiday Inn - 15 Selected Essays - 16
New leads - 17 Joe Tacopina - 18 Update - 19 Mother's Book - 20 Peter R. de Vries - 21 Body found? - 22
Rearrested -23 Joran Confession - 24 Psychics Frauds -25 Blog Perspective - 26 Latest News - 27
The Evidence line - restricted to "facts in evidence."

All essays on this site (including this page) are written by Sam Redman (without by-line).

About the Natalee Holloway disappearance and possible trial of Joran Van der Sloot.  The view is from the prosecution's perspective.


In order to present the whole picture, we also have a Sam Redman essay section entitled "Unsubstantiated Information." This is for rumors, possible witnesses or information, not yet in evidence, but theorized by some as having a possiblity of becoming evidence. 

Plus, we have a Sam Redman essay discussing valid Reasons for Suspicion, which expresses logical arguments that Joran Van der Sloot and the Kalpoe Brothers should be suspected of wrong doing.  It should be read along with the other information.


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Discussion board:  To discuss this case, there are several boards (scaredmonkeys.net, refugeesunleashed.net, blogsfornatalee.com,  and others).  You can also visit our board http://scrux.com/forum  .Not all of the boards allow all views. 

Interesting additions (should be read by everyone):

The complete Skeeters Deepak interview:  transcript and videos

Comparison of Dr. Phil and original :  side by comparison

Youtube.video of  "No. She didn't" segment:  (You can view it full screen)  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YXD3hJu2-kY

Paul van der Sloot (Dutch tv show NOVA) : Paul van der sloot interview

All Mountain Brook student quotes (many sources) :   Student quotes

Vanity Fair article                         Vanity Fair 
 

The Joran interviews:

 "A Current Affair" tv show (done in Holland). 
      Unedited transcript:  Joran Current Affair interview
 .    (Lots of surprises. Things you didn't hear elswhere).
       Censored ACA broadcast: Censored Current Affair

Unedited Greta Van Susteren     JoranGreta interview
(Omits commercial "breaks" and irrelevant "intro" comments.)

Joran ABC primetime  Joran Primetime interview
(Actual interview. Omits history, lead-in comments, background etc): 

Dutch Nova Joran interview    Joran Nova interview

The secretly recorded police car tape     PoliceCar Joran and Kalpoes


Only evidence can be used in a trial.

A  judge on a Dutch three judge panel trial can only consider facts in evidence.   A judge must exclude all irrelevant information or circumstances, which do not speak to the specifics of a crime and the culpability of the accused.  Facts not in evidence and most speculations are irrelevant. 

The purpose of the hearing is to determine, first," Has a crime been committed ? "  A trial can only be brought, based on evidence (presented by the prosecution), which proves a missing person is dead, evidenced by a body or sufficient forensic evidence to indicate that a murder took place.  However, a trial could also be brought without a body based on the testimony of credible witnesses that such a crime was indeed committed.

Secondly, if it is determined that the crime of murder was committed, the purpose of the court would be to determine the guilt or innocence of the person accused of the murder based solely on facts permitted in evidence.  Circumstantial evidence can be admitted into the trial, but a conviction based only on circumstantial evidence is improbable unless there would be a convincing preponderance.

Any information, whether factual of speculative, about the history of the missing person or the accused, which would be considered unfairly prejudicial to the case will be excluded from the court proceedings.



What are the "facts in evidence?"
What could be offered as evidence by the prosecution?

Although, other information is known about the missing person and about the accused, only what the court considers relevant will be allowed to be presented as evidence.

1. Late one Sunday evening May 29, 2005 from about 9:00 PM until about 1:30 AM (now  Monday, May 30, 2005), an 18 year old girl, Natalee Holloway, a  tourist to Aruba, was last seen at a Carlos 'n Charlies, a restaurant and bar, which is a popular eating, drinking and dancing establishment.

2. Natalee Holloway was seen leaving at the closing time of the restaurant, which was about 1:30 AM, Monday May 30, with three local men ( Satish Kalpoe, Deepak Kalpoe and Joran Van der Sloot).  Deepak  Kalpoe was driving.  Satish Kalpoe the front seat.  Joran and Natalee were in the back seat. 

3. No witnesses state that they saw anything irregular about  the event of her leaving. Natalee tells some of her fellow travelers and fellow bar attendees, who inquired about  her "well being" outside the bar that she is "ok."  Witnesses state that Ms Holloway does not appear to be impaired in any way. She is heard to yell cheerfully,  "Woo hoo Aruba!"  from the open car window as they depart. (This is not verifiable, it was, however, based on reliable hearsay of comments made by students riding the bus to the airport. The assumption is made that those statements would be repeated in a trial). 

4. In interview records (made available to Kalpoe attorneys), several of Natalee's fellow student travelers stated that as he was driving away, Deepak.stopped his car a short distance away from  the area,"at the intersection next to the bus terminal" close to where Carlos 'n Charlies is located. They stated that it was at this intersection, not far from C&C's, where a group of the other students were waiting for taxis.  Some of the students asked Natalee to get out of the car and be with them. She refused. They stated she said wanted to go for a drive with the three boys.

5. Natalee Holloway missed her flight back to Alabama, failing to show up in the lobby of her hotel for transportation to the airport at 10:30 AM the next day (Monday).

6. Between 3:00-5:00 am, the next morning (now Tuesday, May 31, 2005), Deepak Kalpoe and Joran Van der Sloot, were confronted in the middle of the night  outside of the home of Joran Van der Sloot by a group of relatives and friends of Natalee Holloway, all of whom  had arrived a few hours earlier from Natalee's home state of Alabama.   The Alabama group was there along with two local policemen.

7. According to several witnesses, Deepak Kalpoe and Joran Van der Sloot told this group, where and when they last saw Natalee.   They say that they dropped her off about 25-26 hours previously (2:00 AM Monday) in front of her hotel.  One witness, a local businessman, Charles Croes  who was in the group, is a key witness to Joran's comments, stating, " He told me that she had been doing drugs and possibly been drinking, too." Croes also  said, " He repeated to me over and over again was his desire to help find her, that if there's anything he could do to help find her, he would, just please ask him, that kind of thing. It was a very scared young guy, who seemed to be wanting to help." Croes was asked, "Is there anything that he told you or he said that would suggest that he had any sort of inkling that she was missing and there was some foul play? Croes answered, "No."



Statements revision history-

1. Voluntarily at the police station, all three men each give a statement regarding the events of the evening (and early morning) prior to Natalee Holloway missing her plane.  Deepak Kalpoe and Joran Van der Sloot repeat the same statement made earlier.  Satish Kalpoe (who had not been present at the early morning confrontation with police present),  makes the same statement as the other two. 
2. Days later, after being arrested for suspicion of a possible crime in the disappearance of Natalee Holloway, and in jail, Satish Kalpoe and Deepak Kalpoe, separated from one another and from Joran Van der Sloot,  each change their statement  (this is to be their only revision), as follows:
 

a.  Both Satish Kalpoe and Deepak Kalpoe say they dropped  Joran Van der Sloot with Natalee Holloway at a local beach (Mariott beach, also known as Palm Beach) at about 1:40 or 1:45 am and arrived at their home shortly thereafter.
b.  Satish's statement is that he went to sleep after arriving home.
c.  Deepak Kalpoe's statement says:
 
1. Arrived home around 1:50 am (five to ten minute drive from Mariottt beach area).
2. Shortly after 2:00 am, after arriving home, he got on his computer . He offers logon records on the internet to verify this action and time. (until almost 3:00 am).
3. 2:40 am:  He says that Joran telephoned (cellphone)  Deepak and asked for a ride. (cellphone triangulation shows he is at the beach near the Mariott).
4. 3:00-3:01 am: Joran called Deepak again, says he is walking home, that he left Natalee on beach. (cellphone grid triangulation shows Joran "in the neighbohood" between the Mariott beach and his home).
4a.  An alternate version is that Joran was picked up by Satish and then driven home.
5. 3:00 am:  Deepak says that he is conversing  in a computer chat room with a friend in the US.
6. Sometime after 3:00 am:  Phone records show another call after 3:00 o'clock (3:15?).  Deepak states this call was Joran saying he has arrived home.(cellphone grid triangulation shows Joran is at his home.)
Here is a more complete timeline which takes into account many possible conflicts:

Timeline accounting for conflicts


Source: Interview with Satish Kalpoe's attorney, (Click to read)  David Kock, states that computer and phone records confirm Deepak's statement and Joran's locations and times and that Satish went home and stayed there..
 

Quote from David Kock: "There are Internet records that show the time that Deepak got home. Of course, we do not have any for Satish because he went home, as you know, and went to his bedroom, went to sleep in his bedroom. There's no computer. He wasn't either on the phone anymore. But his brother, Deepak, was. And for that, we already have the records. And that is also what we indicated during the hearing of the so-called gardener, when he stated that at a certain time, he saw the three there, whereas we had concrete proof that that was just not possible...
{snip}
Other than what my client stated that he heard or was told by Joran, is that he went home walking. But you know, we don't have any way to verify it."  (Italics added by Scrux)

3. Joran Van der Sloot made a second revision to his statement to agree with Satish Kalpoe's and Deepak Kalpoe's second statement (that Joran and Natalee were dropped on the beach), except in Joran Van der Sloot's second version,  Joran further states that he left Natalee on the beach and he stated that Deepak Kalpoe picked him up in his car at the beach after his phone call and took him to the Van der Sloot home. 

4. Throughout his custody, Joran Van der Sloot has never changed the part of his statement, which agrees with the final version of Satish Kalpoe.

5. After Joran Van der Sloot  is shown the computer records (and Deepak's statement) Joran then makes a third revision to his statement to agree with Deepak Kalpoe's statement, that after he telephoned Deepak Kalpoe,  Deepak did not pick him up, but instead he walked home from the beach  (about a 40 minute walk). Evidently, Joran made a verbal assertion prior to changing his statement in which he surmised that perhaps Deepak came back after dropping him at home and raped and murdered Natalee.  That Joran made this speculation is confirmed at least by David Kock (Satish attorney).  However,  it evidently was not signed by Joran.  This is discussed further in an "Unsubstantiated Information" page.  Then after Joran is shown the computer records and Deepak's statement he retracts that speculation as well as changing his own statement. 

6.  No further changes in their statements past the second revision have ever been made by Satish Kalpoe or Deepak Kalpoe.
 

Note that Joran has made 3 (or 4) statements (versions):

Version 1.  Dropped Natalee at Holiday Inn
Version 2.  Natalee and Joran were left at Mariott beach.  Joran left Natalee on beach, called Deepak for ride.  Deepak picked him up and took him home.  Text messages Deepak saying "call me."
Version 3.  Same as version 2, except Joran says he called Deepak  and told him he is walking home. Text messages  Deepak later to say he has arrived home.
Version 4. Same as version 3, except Joran claims that Satish picked him up and drove him home
 
 

About version 4:

From this CNN report June 29, 2005 - 11:30   ET
http://cnnstudentnews.cnn.com/TRANSCRIPTS/0506/29/lt.02.html
Van der Sloot's attorney, Antonio Carlo, declined to talk to us for this report, but Kock has seen van der Sloot's statements to investigators and says he's changed his story several times since his arrest, claiming first Deepak Kalpoe picked him up from the beach after he left Natalee, then saying it was Satish Kalpoe. In another version of the story, Joran van der Sloot said he walked home. 

David Kock: There have been other points, but those important issues, you see that those are four different stories.


Then in an Dutch television Nova interview on Feb 18, 2006, Reporter Twan Huys interviewed Joran.   Joran Nova interview

http://scrux.com/transcripts/novajoranfeb18.htm

Joran van der Sloot: ... and she went with us and she wanted to be left on the beach. She wanted me to stay with her, but I had to go to school the next day and I told her I had to go and eventually I called one of my friends and he picked me up and I went home. 

Reporter Twan Huys:: Who picked you up ? 

Joran van der Sloot: Deepak's brother Satish. 

7.  Subsequently, over several weeks, Joran Van der Sloot  modifies his third or fourth statement (versions 3 and 4) several times to add events which he says occurred after Joran Van der Sloot and Natalee Holloway were dropped off at the beach.

8. These revisions occur upon Joran Van der Sloot's reading of typed copies of his statement and then editing his previously signed statements.  In the following fashion Joran Van der Sloot has edited his version 3 or 4 statement many times, ostensibly to correct and expand on certain facts:
 

a. As Joran Van der Sloot recalls minor details which he had forgotten to include earlier.
b. As Joran Van der Sloot's memory is refreshed when investigators compare  known facts, such as geographical fixtures at the beach location, to his earlier recollection.
c.  Maybe on advice of his attorney, Joran Van der Sloot recounts information he was reluctant to tell, like perhaps details of consensual sex or mutual drug use.

9. None of Joran Van der Sloot's statements admit to his causing any harm to Natalee Holloway or knowing about her ultimate fate or destination. He maintains his innocence, through all the statements, of any wrong doing concerning Natalee Holloway or any knowledge of any details about her disappearance, with one possible exception.  This exception is discussed on the "Unsubstantiated Information" page where an unverified statement was reported to have been made by Joran implicating Deepak. Interestingly that unverified statement would be consistent with Joran's version 2, above.

10. Possible reasonable explanations for various versions:
Judges can make conjectures (often these arguments are advanced by the defense attorney) in order to decide if certain behavior, such as making a false statement or revising a statement, is reasonably not conclusive to be an indication of guilt. These are possible reasonable explanations a judge might consider:
 

a. Joran Van der Sloot might have been at first embarrassed to admit that he did as cavalier (uncouth or unmannerly) a thing as to leave an unescorted woman alone at the beach. This could account for the first version (version 1 above).
b. Satish Kalpoe and Deepak Kalpoe might have been merely backing up the statement of their friend (Joran Van der Sloot) thinking it was harmless to do so, and also wanting to save Joran Van der Sloot from the embarrassment of telling about leaving a young woman alone in the middle of the night.  This might account for the Kalpoes first version.
c.  Why Joran would tell the second version (version 2 above)? If the third version (version 3 above) is the truth, then version 2  would have been an unnecesary complication to the story (and while version 1 lie has a forgivable explanation, if version 2 is a lie, there is no reasonable explanation).  But, what is significant is that he changed to version 3 (or 4),  only when shown the Kalpoe computer records and after being confronted in a face to face encounter with Deepak during interrogation.  A perhaps more logical explanation might be that Joran's version 2 is the correct one (truthful) and that the computer records actually don't exonerate both of the Kalpoes, since Satish could have been the one on Deepak's computer while Deepak was picking up Joran and taking him home.  If that were true then Deepak would be a more likely suspect, with Satish an accessory in covering up Deepak's involvement.

d. Possible reasonable explanations why Joran Van der Sloot did multiple edits of his statement:

c1 - Better recollection of the sequence of events at the beach area,
c2 - Revelation of acts between Joran Van der Sloot and Natalee Holloway, which Joran Van der Sloot, at first, wanted to remain discreet.
c3 - Correction of details of geographical structures present at the scene,
c4 - A simple jogged memory correction of who Joran Van der Sloot talked to when called concerning picking him up at the beach.
c5 - Correction of his recollection of the timing of certain contacts with the other two men after evidence was shown Joran Van der Sloot showing details of various phone or text message records.


It should be noted that making revisions to any sworn statement, offered in response to police questioning, does not provide evidentiary indication that the previous version of the statement is now perjurious. Making revisions to statements to improve their accuracy is always suggested and encouraged by investigator s (if anything additional is remembered, etc) and looked upon favorably by the court.  Previous statements corrected in sworn subsequent versions are no longer admissible as evidence and cannot be used against a defendant in a court of law.  The lastest sworn statement is considered the representation of record.  A suspect (or defendant) is not required to make any statement and so, all such are voluntary.

11. Concerns raised by Version 4
 

A. If Joran and Satish are now mobile in an automobile, after leaving Natalee on the beach, the phone triangulation reports are not as exonerating, They could have merely driven by Joran's house and made the call to Deepak from the street, saying he was home. 

B. With Joran and Satish mobile, a possible speculative scenario that they took Natalee by Joran's apartment to see if she might recover there (perhaps from alcohol poisoning, or drug overdose, or injury) has more credibilty. Joran's alibi of being on the computer at 3:30 or so, no longer has much significance, because they could have left anytime after that. Access to the car changes the entire perspective on events. 

C. Since Version 4 would place Joran and Satish with a car, they would have been able to make trips all over the island, until Joran got on the bus to school. They could have enlisted help (from drug dealers or others) to dispose of a body. Many scenarios would be possible with a car. 

D. A statement by Nadira Rameriz  (Kalpoe brothers' mother) was carefully worded that she didn't see either of them were home (only saw a closed door, which could have been closed by Deepak). While that doesn't refute anyone's story (as was erroneously concluded on a "Dr. Phil" television show), it doesn't provide Satish with an alibi that he wasn't out all night. In fact, Satish has never had any alibi, since he wasn't the one on the computer nor had a cellphone. 

E. With Version 4, the gardner's statement  (see unsubstantiated informaion) begins to be more believable, Deepak was not seen. (Joran driving the car makes more sense if Deepak was not there). He might have just been wrong on the time (they used the cellphone triangulation and computer times to refute his testimony). Joran and Satish could have been at his apartment and left to then be seen by the gardener. 

Certainly, the Version 4 information wouldn't be necessarily incriminating, in and of itself.  Joran could have still left Natalee on the beach. However, the layering of the lies, made even more convoluted with Satish's attorney strangely hiding this Version 4 in his August interview, tend to make the circumstances more prone to suspicion.



Concerning evidence that a crime was committed:

1. Evidence concerning the status of Natalee Holloway: 
 

a.  Natalee Holloway was last seen with the three men. (statements of bar patrons).
b.  Natalee Holloway was left on the beach (statements of the three men).
c.  See the "Unsubstantiated Information" page concerning Joran's (not verified) speculation about Deepak Kalpoe, which is interestingly, also consistent with Joran's version 2, above.
d.   Natalee Holloway missed her flight home to Alabama.
e.   There have been no communications from Natalee Holloway.
f.   Extensive search efforts cannot find Natalee Holloway or her body on the land or in waters surrounding Aruba.
g.   Natalee Holloway is still missing.

2.  Forensic evidence of a crime against Natalee Holloway:
 

a.  No forensic evidence was presented to the court, which would indicate any harm came to Natalee Holloway.
b.  No forensic evidence even supports that  Natalee Holloway was ever in the company any of the three men 
c. Only statements of the three men and fellow bar attendees are evidence of her being in the company of the three men. 

3.  Speculative scenarios
Any scenarios such as:  Natalee Holloway was a runaway, a kidnap victim or a murder victim are based only on speculation, or facts not in evidence, and cannot be considered in these proceedings.

4.  Sam Redman's Unsubstantiated information Click  to read
In order to present the whole picture we also present "Unsubstantiated Information." This is for rumors, possible witnesses such as the "gardener,"  supposed confessions or speculations or other information not yet in evidence, but theorized by some as having a possiblity of becoming evidence. 

5.  Sam Redman's Reasons for Suspicion Click to read
We also provide an essay discussing valid Reasons for Suspicion, which expresses logical arguments that Joran Van der Sloot and the Kalpoe Brothers should be suspected of wrong doing.  It is a "must read" along with the other information. 

6.  Joran Interview 
Joran Van der Sloot was interviewed  in Holland by "A Current Affair" television show. Here is a true unedited, uncensored interview transcript:  Joran interview (uncensored)
Here is the edited and censored broadcast interview: Censored edited interview

7.  Paul van der Sloot Interview
A very candid interview with Paul van der Sloot, by the  Dutch television show NOVA .  He talks about that first night and about the reasons he was arrested: Paul van der Sloot interview

8. Sam Redman's essay, The CrackHouse Theory
Sam Redman has prepared a fanciful essay on The Crackhouse Theory.  It is a fictional tale, but, one which might explain the mystery to some.  This is an example of wild speculation.

9.  Mountain Brook student quotes
All of the Mountain Brook student quotes (from lots of interview sources) :   Student quotes



How would the judges decide?
Suppose this was what was the total of what was allowable to be presented to all judges presiding on a three judge panel by the prosecution.  How would any one of those judges upon hearing this decide?    Charged with the rules of law and evidence,

How would you decide? 


If you would like to explore this case further, visit The Scrux Discussion Board  for an interesting exchange. 

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